Tom Davidson
Senior Research Fellow
Tom Davidson is the author of a series of reports on AI timelines, and whether AI could drive explosive growth. Tom was previously a Senior Research Fellow at Open Philanthropy, a research scientist at the UK Government's AI Security Institute, and a data scientist at a startup. Tom has a first-class masters degree in physics and philosophy from the University of Oxford.
Articles by Tom Davidson
23rd February 2026
Moral public goods are a big deal for whether we get a good future
with William MacAskill, Mia Taylor
7th January 2026
ML research directions for preventing catastrophic data poisoning
20th August 2025
Could one country outgrow the rest of the world?
4th August 2025
How quick and big would a software intelligence explosion be?
with Tom Houlden
21st May 2025
The Industrial Explosion
with Rose Hadshar
15th April 2025
AI-Enabled Coups: How a Small Group Could Use AI to Seize Power
with Lukas Finnveden, Rose Hadshar
4th April 2025
Will Compute Bottlenecks Prevent a Software Intelligence Explosion?
26th March 2025
Will AI R&D Automation Cause a Software Intelligence Explosion?
with Daniel Eth
26th March 2025
Will the Need to Retrain AI Models from Scratch Block a Software Intelligence Explosion?
24th March 2025
How Can AI Labs Incorporate Risks From AI Accelerating AI Progress Into Their Responsible Scaling Policies?
17th March 2025
Three Types of Intelligence Explosion
with Rose Hadshar, William MacAskill
17th March 2025
How Far Can AI Progress Before Hitting Effective Physical Limits?
with Rose Hadshar, William MacAskill
17th March 2025
Once AI Research is Automated, Will AI Progress Accelerate?
with Rose Hadshar, William MacAskill
17th March 2025
How Suddenly will AI Accelerate the Pace of AI progress?
with Rose Hadshar, William MacAskill
1st March 2025
Could Advanced AI Accelerate the Pace of AI Progress? Interviews with AI Researchers
with Jared Leibowich, Nikola Jurkovic
11th January 2025
Human Takeover Might be Worse than AI Takeover
3rd December 2024
Should There Be Just One Western AGI Project?
with Rose Hadshar
