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How should we navigate explosive AI progress?

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Research

Could one country outgrow the rest of the world?

Tom Davidson

How quick and big would a software intelligence explosion be?

Tom Davidson & Tom Houlden

Better Futures

Series
William MacAskill

Introducing Better Futures

William MacAskill

No Easy Eutopia

Fin Moorhouse & William MacAskill

Convergence and Compromise

Fin Moorhouse & William MacAskill

Persistent Path-Dependence

William MacAskill

How to Make the Future Better

William MacAskill

Supplement: The Basic Case for Better Futures

William MacAskill & Philip Trammell

The Industrial Explosion

Tom Davidson & Rose Hadshar

Is There a Half-Life for the Success Rates of AI Agents?

Toby Ord

AI-Enabled Coups: How a Small Group Could Use AI to Seize Power

Tom Davidson, Lukas Finnveden & Rose Hadshar
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